Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd · NOFV- Sud - 612:00

0 – 1

Sunday, 27 September 2026

FC FrankfurtLLLWL

· Analysis updated 09:15 UTC

Einheit Rudolstadt vs FC Frankfurt Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.30 expected goals for Einheit Rudolstadt and 1.50 for FC Frankfurt, a combined total of 3.80. That distribution gives Einheit Rudolstadt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Einheit Rudolstadt win

55.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.30 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Einheit Rudolstadt home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • FC Frankfurt away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Einheit Rudolstadt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 20% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.30 goals for Einheit Rudolstadt and 1.50 for FC Frankfurt, a combined 3.80 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Einheit Rudolstadt win56%
Draw20%
FC Frankfurt win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–17.7%
  • 3–16.8%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 2–05.9%

Recent form

Einheit Rudolstadt

  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eilenburg · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Freital · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Dresden II · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Budissa Bautzen · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Plauen · 1-3 (L)

FC Frankfurt

  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Germania Halberstadt · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Einheit Rudolstadt · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs ZFC Meuselwitz · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eilenburg · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Sandersdorf · 0-8 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Nordost-Süd table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ZFC Meuselwitz97201323
2Auerbach96211320
3Germania Halberstadt96121519
4VfL Halle9603418
5Eilenburg95131216
6Dresden II9351714
7Plauen9342413
8SC Freital9342213
9Weissenfels9405-212
10Union Sandersdorf9315210
11Empor Glauchau9234-29
12Budissa Bautzen9234-79
13Einheit Wernigerode9153-98
14Krieschow9225-128
15Einheit Rudolstadt9036-183
16FC Frankfurt9108-223

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Einheit Rudolstadt win, at 55.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.