Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd · Nordost-Süd - 2912:00

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Sunday, 17 May 2026

Stadtisches Stadion im Heinepark · Analysis updated 16:30 UTC

Einheit Rudolstadt vs RSV Eintracht Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Einheit Rudolstadt and 1.45 for RSV Eintracht, a combined total of 3.49. That distribution gives Einheit Rudolstadt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Einheit Rudolstadt win

51.4% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.04 – 1.45

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Einheit Rudolstadt home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • RSV Eintracht away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Einheit Rudolstadt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 21% / 27% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.04 goals for Einheit Rudolstadt and 1.45 for RSV Eintracht, a combined 3.49 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Einheit Rudolstadt win51%
Draw21%
RSV Eintracht win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 1–26.5%
  • 2–06.4%

Recent form

Einheit Rudolstadt

  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eilenburg · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Freital · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Dresden II · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Budissa Bautzen · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Plauen · 1-3 (L)

RSV Eintracht

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tasmania Berlin · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha BSC II · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Altglienicke · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-17T12:00:00.000Z · Einheit Rudolstadt 1-1 RSV Eintracht (Oberliga - Nordost-Süd)
  • 2025-11-29T12:30:00.000Z · Einheit Rudolstadt 0-5 RSV Eintracht (Oberliga - Nordost-Süd)
  • 2025-03-30T12:00:00.000Z · Einheit Rudolstadt 2-5 RSV Eintracht (Oberliga - Nordost-Süd)
  • 2024-09-28T12:00:00.000Z · Einheit Rudolstadt 3-2 RSV Eintracht (Oberliga - Nordost-Süd)

Oberliga - Nordost-Süd table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ZFC Meuselwitz97201323
2Auerbach96211320
3Germania Halberstadt96121519
4VfL Halle9603418
5Eilenburg95131216
6Dresden II9351714
7Plauen9342413
8SC Freital9342213
9Weissenfels9405-212
10Union Sandersdorf9315210
11Empor Glauchau9234-29
12Budissa Bautzen9234-79
13Einheit Wernigerode9153-98
14Krieschow9225-128
15Einheit Rudolstadt9036-183
16FC Frankfurt9108-223

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Einheit Rudolstadt win, at 51.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.