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Saturday, 18 July 2026

· Analysis updated 22:28 UTC

Eintracht Braunschw. II vs SV Babelsberg 03 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.32 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschw. II and 1.33 for SV Babelsberg 03, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives Eintracht Braunschw. II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Eintracht Braunschw. II win

59.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.32 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Eintracht Braunschw. II home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • SV Babelsberg 03 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Eintracht Braunschw. II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 19% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.32 goals for Eintracht Braunschw. II and 1.33 for SV Babelsberg 03, a combined 3.65 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Eintracht Braunschw. II win60%
Draw19%
SV Babelsberg 03 win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–18.0%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 2–07.0%
  • 2–26.2%

Recent form

Eintracht Braunschw. II

  • 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Drochtersen/Assel II · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Verden 04 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vorsfelde · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Nordhorn · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Spelle-Venhaus · 1-3 (L)

SV Babelsberg 03

  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Luckenwalde · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC II · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Chemnitzer FC · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hallescher FC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Zwickau · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Eintracht Braunschw. II win, at 59.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.