Germany · Oberliga - Niedersachsen · Niedersachsen - 1012:00

2 – 1

Saturday, 10 October 2026

Verden 04WLLWD

· Analysis updated 12:10 UTC

Eintracht Braunschw. II vs Verden 04 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.70 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschw. II and 1.50 for Verden 04, a combined total of 4.20. That distribution gives Eintracht Braunschw. II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Eintracht Braunschw. II win

62.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.70 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Eintracht Braunschw. II home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Verden 04 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Eintracht Braunschw. II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 17% / 20% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.70 goals for Eintracht Braunschw. II and 1.50 for Verden 04, a combined 4.20 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Eintracht Braunschw. II win63%
Draw17%
Verden 04 win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Over 3.5 goals60%
Both teams to score72%

Correct score

  • 2–18.2%
  • 3–17.4%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 1–16.1%
  • 3–25.5%

Recent form

Eintracht Braunschw. II

  • 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Drochtersen/Assel II · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Verden 04 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vorsfelde · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Nordhorn · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Spelle-Venhaus · 1-3 (L)

Verden 04

  • 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Meppen II · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunschw. II · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Heeslinger SC · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Lüneburger SK Hansa · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Wilhelmshaven · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-03-01T14:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschw. II 1-4 Verden 04 (Oberliga - Niedersachsen)
  • 2025-09-07T12:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschw. II 2-0 Verden 04 (Oberliga - Niedersachsen)
  • 2025-04-13T13:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschw. II 1-2 Verden 04 (Oberliga - Niedersachsen)
  • 2024-10-12T12:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschw. II 1-1 Verden 04 (Oberliga - Niedersachsen)

Oberliga - Niedersachsen table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Eintracht Braunschw. II128221826
2Wilhelmshaven117311424
3Heeslinger SC116411722
4Spelle-Venhaus116411122
5Schwarz-Weiß Rehden106311021
6Borussia Hildesheim11623520
7BW Lohne10523617
8Bersenbrück11515016
9Meppen II11515-216
10Verden 0412345113
11Nordhorn12345-1313
12Germania Egestorf10235-99
13Hemmingen11218-207
14Lüneburger SK Hansa10064-56
15Vorsfelde11128-195
16Drochtersen/Assel II10109-143

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Eintracht Braunschw. II win, at 62.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.