Eintracht-Stadion · Referee Lars Erbst, Germany · Analysis updated 06:06 UTC
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 0.75 for Dynamo Dresden, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Eintracht Braunschweig the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eintracht Braunschweig win
71.4% probability
Expected goals
2.25 – 0.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eintracht Braunschweig home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dynamo Dresden away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
29%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–012.6%
- 1–011.2%
- 3–09.5%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–18.4%
Recent form
Eintracht Braunschweig
- 2026-08-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-14T16:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Bochum · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Magdeburg · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louvière · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-24T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Southampton · 0-1 (L)
Dynamo Dresden
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunschweig · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T18:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Bochum · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Heidenheim · 3-5 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-09T11:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschweig 2-1 Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga)
- 2025-12-12T17:30:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschweig 3-2 Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga)
- 2021-07-03T00:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschweig 0-1 Dynamo Dresden (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2020-08-21T13:30:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 Dynamo Dresden (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2020-08-21T13:30:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 Dynamo Dresden (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2018-04-08T11:30:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschweig 1-1 Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga)
- 2017-10-29T15:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschweig 1-1 Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga)
- 2017-04-10T18:15:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga)
- 2016-10-28T16:30:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschweig 2-3 Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga)
- 2013-03-28T19:30:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschweig 2-1 Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga)
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Arminia Bielefeld | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Energie Cottbus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | VfL Osnabrück | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Karlsruher SC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Hannover 96 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | VfL Bochum | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eintracht Braunschweig win, at 71.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.