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Tuesday, 14 July 2026

· Analysis updated 09:25 UTC

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Havelse Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.33 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 2.18 for Havelse, a combined total of 4.50. That distribution gives Eintracht Braunschweig the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

62.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.33 – 2.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Eintracht Braunschweig home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Havelse away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Eintracht Braunschweig to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 19% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.33 goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 2.18 for Havelse, a combined 4.50 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Eintracht Braunschweig win43%
Draw19%
Havelse win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals83%
Over 3.5 goals66%
Both teams to score80%

Correct score

  • 2–27.1%
  • 2–16.5%
  • 1–26.1%
  • 1–15.6%
  • 3–25.5%

Recent form

Eintracht Braunschweig

  • 2026-08-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-14T16:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Bochum · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Magdeburg · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louvière · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-24T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Southampton · 0-1 (L)

Havelse

  • 2026-10-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Meppen · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Würzburger Kickers · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Jahn Regensburg · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs VfL Wolfsburg · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Köln · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-07-14T16:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschweig 2-1 Havelse (Friendlies Clubs)
  • 2022-04-02T12:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschweig 3-2 Havelse (3. Liga)
  • 2021-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Braunschweig 4-0 Havelse (3. Liga)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.