Eintracht Braunschweig vs Hertha BSC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.75 for Hertha BSC, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Eintracht Braunschweig the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

61.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Eintracht Braunschweig home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hertha BSC away threat
Scored in 8 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eintracht Braunschweig to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 22% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.75 for Hertha BSC, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Eintracht Braunschweig win39%

Draw22%

Hertha BSC win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals46%

Both teams to score68%

Correct score

1–19.2%
1–28.1%
2–18.1%
2–27.1%
0–15.3%

Recent form

Eintracht Braunschweig

2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Holstein Kiel · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamo Dresden · 2-2 (D)

Hertha BSC

2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Augsburg · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Dresden · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · A vs VfL Osnabrück · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-06T11:30:00.000Z · H vs 1. FC Magdeburg · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Bundesliga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	9	8	1	0	12	25
2	1. FC Nürnberg	9	5	3	1	9	18
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	9	5	3	1	5	18
4	VfL Wolfsburg	9	4	4	1	9	16
5	1. FC Magdeburg	9	5	1	3	8	16
6	1. FC Heidenheim	9	4	3	2	0	15
7	FC St. Pauli	9	2	6	1	2	12
8	VfL Osnabrück	9	3	2	4	-1	11
9	Arminia Bielefeld	9	3	2	4	-1	11
10	Eintracht Braunschweig	9	3	1	5	0	10
11	Energie Cottbus	9	2	4	3	-1	10
12	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Holstein Kiel	9	1	5	3	-1	8
14	VfL Bochum	9	2	2	5	-4	8
15	Dynamo Dresden	9	2	2	5	-7	8
16	Hannover 96	9	2	2	5	-7	8
17	Karlsruher SC	9	2	2	5	-9	8
18	SV Darmstadt 98	9	2	2	5	-10	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.