Eintracht-Stadion · Referee S. Storks · Analysis updated 08:38 UTC
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.23 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.14 for Union Berlin, a combined total of 3.37. That distribution gives Eintracht Braunschweig the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eintracht Braunschweig win
61.9% probability
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.14
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eintracht Braunschweig home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Union Berlin away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eintracht Braunschweig to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 20% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.23 goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.14 for Union Berlin, a combined 3.37 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.7%
- 2–08.5%
- 1–07.6%
- 3–17.2%
Recent form
Eintracht Braunschweig
- 2026-08-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-14T16:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Bochum · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Magdeburg · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louvière · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-24T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Southampton · 0-1 (L)
Union Berlin
- 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Dortmund · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs SV Elversberg · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T17:15:00.000Z · A vs HNK Rijeka · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Bayern München · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-09-11T18:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Schalke 04 · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eintracht Braunschweig win, at 61.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.