Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Matchweek 1109:00

2 – 2

Saturday, 2 May 2026

· Analysis updated 07:44 UTC

Eintracht Frankf U19 vs 1860 München U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Eintracht Frankf U19 and 1.95 for 1860 München U19, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives 1860 München U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

63.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.95

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Eintracht Frankf U19 home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • 1860 München U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Eintracht Frankf U19 win36%
Draw21%
1860 München U19 win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score72%

Correct score

  • 1–18.3%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 1–35.2%

Recent form

Eintracht Frankf U19

  • 2026-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Nürnberg U19 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Leipzig U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 7-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 6-0 (W)

1860 München U19

  • 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 4-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unterhaching U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Wieseck U19 · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-02T09:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Frankf U19 2-2 1860 München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
  • 2026-02-28T10:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Frankf U19 3-6 1860 München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
  • 2024-05-11T09:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Frankf U19 1-1 1860 München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
  • 2023-12-16T10:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Frankf U19 4-2 1860 München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
  • 2022-11-19T10:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Frankf U19 2-0 1860 München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
  • 2017-04-01T09:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Frankf U19 1-3 1860 München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
  • 2016-10-22T09:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Frankf U19 2-0 1860 München U19 (U19 Bundesliga)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.