Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary11:30

2 – 2

Saturday, 17 October 2026

· Analysis updated 10:41 UTC

Eintracht Frankf U19 vs Nürnberg U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.93 expected goals for Eintracht Frankf U19 and 1.49 for Nürnberg U19, a combined total of 4.42. That distribution gives Eintracht Frankf U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Eintracht Frankf U19 win

67.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.93 – 1.49

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Eintracht Frankf U19 home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Nürnberg U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Eintracht Frankf U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 16% / 17% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.93 goals for Eintracht Frankf U19 and 1.49 for Nürnberg U19, a combined 4.42 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Eintracht Frankf U19 win67%
Draw16%
Nürnberg U19 win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

33%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Over 3.5 goals64%
Both teams to score73%

Correct score

  • 2–17.7%
  • 3–17.5%
  • 2–25.7%
  • 3–25.6%
  • 4–15.5%

Recent form

Eintracht Frankf U19

  • 2026-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Nürnberg U19 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Leipzig U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 7-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 6-0 (W)

Nürnberg U19

  • 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamo Dresden U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankf U19 · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-04-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 3-3 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Eintracht Frankf U19 win, at 67.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.