Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary09:00

1 – 2

Sunday, 13 September 2026

· Analysis updated 19:21 UTC

Eintracht Frankf U19 vs RB Leipzig U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.68 expected goals for Eintracht Frankf U19 and 1.75 for RB Leipzig U19, a combined total of 4.43. That distribution gives Eintracht Frankf U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Eintracht Frankf U19 win

57.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.68 – 1.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Eintracht Frankf U19 home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Eintracht Frankf U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 18% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.68 goals for Eintracht Frankf U19 and 1.75 for RB Leipzig U19, a combined 4.43 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 82% and both teams to score at 77%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Eintracht Frankf U19 win58%
Draw18%
RB Leipzig U19 win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals64%
Both teams to score77%

Correct score

  • 2–17.5%
  • 3–16.7%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 3–25.8%
  • 1–15.6%

Recent form

Eintracht Frankf U19

  • 2026-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Nürnberg U19 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Leipzig U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 7-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 6-0 (W)

RB Leipzig U19

  • 2026-08-22T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 7-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamo Dresden U19 · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T12:05:00.000Z · H vs Kaiserslautern U19 · 3-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Eintracht Frankf U19 win, at 57.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.