· Analysis updated 08:02 UTC
Eintracht Frankf U19 vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.02 expected goals for Eintracht Frankf U19 and 1.07 for Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19, a combined total of 4.09. That distribution gives Eintracht Frankf U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 77%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 77% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eintracht Frankf U19 win
76.5% probability
Expected goals
3.02 – 1.07
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eintracht Frankf U19 home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eintracht Frankf U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 77%, against 77% / 13% / 10% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.02 goals for Eintracht Frankf U19 and 1.07 for Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19, a combined 4.09 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
90%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
24%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–18.2%
- 2–18.2%
- 3–07.7%
- 2–07.7%
- 4–16.2%
Recent form
Eintracht Frankf U19
- 2026-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Nürnberg U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Leipzig U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 7-2 (W)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 6-0 (W)
Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19
- 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Dresden U19 · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Nürnberg U19 · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-14T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankf U19 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eintracht Frankf U19 win, at 76.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.