Germany · 2. Frauen Bundesliga · Matchweek 512:00

1 – 0

Sunday, 6 September 2026

· Analysis updated 08:24 UTC

Eintracht Frankfurt II W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.90 expected goals for Eintracht Frankfurt II W and 2.28 for Carl Zeiss Jena W, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Carl Zeiss Jena W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Carl Zeiss Jena W win

68.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.90 – 2.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Eintracht Frankfurt II W home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Carl Zeiss Jena W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Carl Zeiss Jena W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 13% / 18% / 68% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.90 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt II W and 2.28 for Carl Zeiss Jena W, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Eintracht Frankfurt II W win13%
Draw18%
Carl Zeiss Jena W win68%

Double chance 1X

32%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

87%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 0–210.8%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 0–38.2%

Recent form

Eintracht Frankfurt II W

  • 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Koln II W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Monchengladbach W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Turbine Potsdam W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha Berlin W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Andernach W · 1-0 (W)

Carl Zeiss Jena W

  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Sand W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Eutingen W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Andernach W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim II W · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt II W · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Frauen Bundesliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viktoria Berlin W109011227
2SGS Essen W107212123
3Hertha Berlin W10721723
4Bochum W106221420
5Meppen W10442716
6Ingolstadt W10433315
7Carl Zeiss Jena W10415113
8Borussia Monchengladbach W10415-113
9Andernach W10415-913
10SC Sand W10334-312
11Eintracht Frankfurt II W10316-1210
12Hoffenheim II W10127-105
13Turbine Potsdam W10127-155
14FC Koln II W10028-152

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Carl Zeiss Jena W win, at 68.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.