Germany · Frauen Bundesliga · Matchweek 110:00

2 – 0

Saturday, 22 August 2026

FC Koln WLWLLW

Stadion am Brentanobad · Referee F. Wildfeuer · Analysis updated 22:00 UTC

Eintracht Frankfurt W vs FC Koln W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.86 expected goals for Eintracht Frankfurt W and 1.06 for FC Koln W, a combined total of 2.92. That distribution gives Eintracht Frankfurt W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Eintracht Frankfurt W win

55.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.86 – 1.06

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Eintracht Frankfurt W home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • FC Koln W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Eintracht Frankfurt W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 23% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.86 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt W and 1.06 for FC Koln W, a combined 2.92 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Eintracht Frankfurt W win56%
Draw23%
FC Koln W win22%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–110.7%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.3%
  • 3–16.1%

Recent form

Eintracht Frankfurt W

  • 2026-10-03T15:55:00.000Z · H vs Bayern Munich W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-30T16:30:00.000Z · H vs FH W · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC W · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FH W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 W · 3-2 (W)

FC Koln W

  • 2026-08-28T16:30:00.000Z · H vs 1899 Hoffenheim W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-09T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Werder Bremen W · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Frauen Bundesliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich W88002224
2VfL Wolfsburg W87011821
3Eintracht Frankfurt W8521817
4Werder Bremen W7412313
5Bayer Leverkusen W8413113
6FC Koln W8404112
7RB Leipzig W8314010
8Union Berlin W8314-210
9SC Freiburg W8314-310
101899 Hoffenheim W7304-19
11Stuttgart W8224-128
12Hamburger SV W8134-16
13Nürnberg W8125-115
14Mainz 05 W8008-230

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Eintracht Frankfurt W win, at 55.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.