World · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · Qualifying — Finals16:30

4 – 1

Wednesday, 30 September 2026

FH W

Stadion am Brentanobad · Analysis updated 13:43 UTC

Eintracht Frankfurt W vs FH W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Eintracht Frankfurt W and 1.33 for FH W, a combined total of 3.51. That distribution gives Eintracht Frankfurt W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Eintracht Frankfurt W win

56.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.18 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Eintracht Frankfurt W home form

    6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • FH W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Eintracht Frankfurt W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 20% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.18 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt W and 1.33 for FH W, a combined 3.51 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Eintracht Frankfurt W win57%
Draw20%
FH W win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 2–07.1%
  • 3–16.9%
  • 1–06.5%

Recent form

Eintracht Frankfurt W

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgart W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T15:55:00.000Z · H vs Bayern Munich W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-30T16:30:00.000Z · H vs FH W · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC W · 6-1 (W)

FH W

  • 2026-09-30T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt W · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankfurt W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Apollon Limassol W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Apollon Limassol W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Breidablik W · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Eintracht Frankfurt W win, at 56.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.