Stadion am Brentanobad · Referee L. Scholz · Analysis updated 21:35 UTC
Eintracht Frankfurt W vs Nürnberg W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.83 expected goals for Eintracht Frankfurt W and 1.02 for Nürnberg W, a combined total of 3.84. That distribution gives Eintracht Frankfurt W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eintracht Frankfurt W win
74.7% probability
Expected goals
2.83 – 1.02
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eintracht Frankfurt W home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Nürnberg W away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eintracht Frankfurt W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 75%, against 75% / 14% / 11% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.83 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt W and 1.02 for Nürnberg W, a combined 3.84 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
25%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.7%
- 2–08.6%
- 3–18.2%
- 3–08.1%
- 1–16.2%
Recent form
Eintracht Frankfurt W
- 2026-10-03T15:55:00.000Z · H vs Bayern Munich W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-30T16:30:00.000Z · H vs FH W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC W · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FH W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 W · 3-2 (W)
Nürnberg W
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Buntentor W · 10-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hamburger SV W · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · A vs RB Leipzig W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart W · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt W · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 24 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg W | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Koln W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Union Berlin W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | SC Freiburg W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Stuttgart W | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -12 | 8 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Nürnberg W | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 W | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -23 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eintracht Frankfurt W win, at 74.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.