Eintracht Hohkeppel vs Wegberg-Beeck Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Eintracht Hohkeppel and 1.97 for Wegberg-Beeck, a combined total of 3.77. That distribution gives Wegberg-Beeck the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

64.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.97

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Eintracht Hohkeppel home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Wegberg-Beeck away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Eintracht Hohkeppel win36%

Draw21%

Wegberg-Beeck win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals73%

Over 3.5 goals52%

Both teams to score72%

Correct score

1–18.2%
1–28.1%
2–17.3%
2–27.2%
1–35.3%

Recent form

Eintracht Hohkeppel

2026-10-25T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Frechen · 3-5 (L)
2026-10-18T13:45:00.000Z · A vs Neunkirchen-Seelscheid · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Chlodwig Zulpich · 4-3 (W)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Merten · 1-6 (L)
2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Porz · 4-1 (W)

Wegberg-Beeck

2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Neunkirchen-Seelscheid · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Chlodwig Zulpich · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SSV Merten · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Porz · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Düren Merzenich · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-30T13:30:00.000Z · Eintracht Hohkeppel 1-1 Wegberg-Beeck (Oberliga - Mittelrhein)
2026-03-29T13:00:00.000Z · Eintracht Hohkeppel 1-3 Wegberg-Beeck (Oberliga - Mittelrhein)
2025-10-05T13:30:00.000Z · Eintracht Hohkeppel 2-0 Wegberg-Beeck (Oberliga - Mittelrhein)
2023-05-21T13:30:00.000Z · Eintracht Hohkeppel 1-2 Wegberg-Beeck (Oberliga - Mittelrhein)
2022-11-06T13:30:00.000Z · Eintracht Hohkeppel 0-3 Wegberg-Beeck (Oberliga - Mittelrhein)

Oberliga - Mittelrhein table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wegberg-Beeck	9	7	1	1	12	22
2	SSV Merten	9	6	1	2	18	19
3	Eintracht Hohkeppel	9	5	2	2	8	17
4	Frechen	9	5	2	2	4	17
5	Düren Merzenich	9	5	1	3	2	16
6	Lindenthal-Hohenlind	9	4	3	2	1	15
7	Fortuna Köln II	8	4	1	3	4	13
8	VfL Vichttal	9	3	3	3	7	12
9	Bornheim	9	4	0	5	0	12
10	Siegburger SV	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Hürth	9	2	4	3	-4	10
12	Chlodwig Zulpich	9	3	1	5	-5	10
13	Hennef 05	9	3	1	5	-6	10
14	TuS BW Königsdorf	8	2	0	6	-23	6
15	Porz	9	1	2	6	-7	5
16	Neunkirchen-Seelscheid	9	1	2	6	-10	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.