Eintracht Mahlsdorf vs Hertha Zehlendorf Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Eintracht Mahlsdorf and 0.95 for Hertha Zehlendorf, a combined total of 2.03. That distribution gives Eintracht Mahlsdorf the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

68.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.08 – 0.95

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Eintracht Mahlsdorf home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hertha Zehlendorf away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eintracht Mahlsdorf to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 31% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.08 goals for Eintracht Mahlsdorf and 0.95 for Hertha Zehlendorf, a combined 2.03 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Eintracht Mahlsdorf win38%

Draw31%

Hertha Zehlendorf win32%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals60%

Over 2.5 goals33%

Over 3.5 goals15%

Both teams to score40%

Correct score

1–014.2%
1–113.5%
0–013.2%
0–112.5%
2–07.6%

Recent form

Eintracht Mahlsdorf

2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Optik Rathenow · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Siedenbollentin · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-14T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Luckenwalde · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-12T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Altglienicke · 0-3 (L)
2026-05-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Tasmania Berlin · 0-5 (L)

Hertha Zehlendorf

2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Optik Rathenow · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Siedenbollentin · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-30T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lichtenberg · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hansa Rostock II · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Anker Wismar · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	9	6	1	2	6	19
2	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	9	5	2	2	4	17
3	BAK '07	9	4	4	1	3	16
4	Hertha Zehlendorf	9	5	0	4	8	15
5	Siedenbollentin	9	4	2	3	5	14
6	Lichtenberg	9	4	2	3	2	14
7	Hansa Rostock II	9	3	4	2	8	13
8	Optik Rathenow	9	4	1	4	3	13
9	Anker Wismar	9	4	1	4	-5	13
10	Tennis Borussia	9	3	3	3	0	12
11	Mecklenburg Schwerin	9	2	4	3	-3	10
12	FC Lok Stendal	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Sparta Lichtenberg	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Union Klosterfelde	9	2	3	4	-6	9
15	Makkabi	9	2	2	5	-12	8
16	Neustrelitz	9	2	1	6	-6	7

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 33%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.