· Analysis updated 07:34 UTC
Eintracht Mahlsdorf vs Optik Rathenow Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.47 expected goals for Eintracht Mahlsdorf and 1.01 for Optik Rathenow, a combined total of 2.48. That distribution gives Eintracht Mahlsdorf the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 45% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eintracht Mahlsdorf win
47.7% probability
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.01
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eintracht Mahlsdorf home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Optik Rathenow away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eintracht Mahlsdorf to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 26% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.47 goals for Eintracht Mahlsdorf and 1.01 for Optik Rathenow, a combined 2.48 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.4%
- 1–012.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–18.5%
Recent form
Eintracht Mahlsdorf
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-16T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Union Klosterfelde · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Neustrelitz · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BAK '07 · 0-1 (L)
Optik Rathenow
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Lok Stendal · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Klosterfelde · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Neustrelitz · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Mahlsdorf · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | BAK '07 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Siedenbollentin | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Lichtenberg | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Hansa Rostock II | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Optik Rathenow | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Anker Wismar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 10 | Tennis Borussia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Mecklenburg Schwerin | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | FC Lok Stendal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Union Klosterfelde | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Makkabi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Neustrelitz | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eintracht Mahlsdorf win, at 47.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.