Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion · Analysis updated 12:14 UTC
Eintracht Norderstedt vs HSC Hannover Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Eintracht Norderstedt and 1.95 for HSC Hannover, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives HSC Hannover the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
61.5% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eintracht Norderstedt home form
2 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
HSC Hannover away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates HSC Hannover to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 39% / 21% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Eintracht Norderstedt and 1.95 for HSC Hannover, a combined 3.85 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–17.9%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–35.0%
Recent form
Eintracht Norderstedt
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 II · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Phönix Lübeck · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Jeddeloh · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Werder Bremen II · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-16T16:30:00.000Z · H vs HSC Hannover · 3-3 (D)
HSC Hannover
- 2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs VfB Oldenburg · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Todesfelde · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pauli II · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Schöningen · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eimsbütteler TV · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - Nord table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 34 |
| 2 | Hannover 96 II | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 31 |
| 4 | VfB Oldenburg | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 31 |
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 27 |
| 6 | Schöningen | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Atlas Delmenhorst | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Kickers Emden | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 19 |
| 9 | VfB Lübeck | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | HSC Hannover | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -9 | 17 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen II | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Eimsbütteler TV | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 15 |
| 13 | SSV Jeddeloh | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 14 |
| 14 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV II | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 13 |
| 16 | Todesfelde | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -25 | 12 |
| 17 | St. Pauli II | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Bremer SV | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 61.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.