Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · North - 916:30

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Wednesday, 16 September 2026

HSC HannoverLDWWL

Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion · Analysis updated 12:14 UTC

Eintracht Norderstedt vs HSC Hannover Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Eintracht Norderstedt and 1.95 for HSC Hannover, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives HSC Hannover the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

61.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.95

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Eintracht Norderstedt home form

    2 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • HSC Hannover away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates HSC Hannover to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 39% / 21% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.90 goals for Eintracht Norderstedt and 1.95 for HSC Hannover, a combined 3.85 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Eintracht Norderstedt win39%
Draw21%
HSC Hannover win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Both teams to score73%

Correct score

  • 1–17.9%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–35.0%

Recent form

Eintracht Norderstedt

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 II · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Phönix Lübeck · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Jeddeloh · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Werder Bremen II · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T16:30:00.000Z · H vs HSC Hannover · 3-3 (D)

HSC Hannover

  • 2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs VfB Oldenburg · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Todesfelde · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pauli II · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Schöningen · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eimsbütteler TV · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Nord table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Weiche Flensburg1411122934
2Hannover 96 II1510321533
3SV Drochtersen/Assel1510142631
4VfB Oldenburg1410132231
5Phönix Lübeck138322427
6Schöningen14734-224
7Atlas Delmenhorst13544-119
8Kickers Emden15546-519
9VfB Lübeck14464-318
10HSC Hannover15456-917
11Werder Bremen II14437-415
12Eimsbütteler TV14437-1415
13SSV Jeddeloh15429-1414
14Eintracht Norderstedt13346-813
15Hamburger SV II13418-913
16Todesfelde15339-2512
17St. Pauli II13319-510
18Bremer SV13229-178

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 61.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.