Germany · Oberliga - Westfalen · Westfalen - 1013:00

2 – 2

Sunday, 11 October 2026

SchermbeckLLLDL

Obi-Arena · Analysis updated 14:21 UTC

Eintracht Rheine vs Schermbeck Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.90 expected goals for Eintracht Rheine and 0.95 for Schermbeck, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives Eintracht Rheine the largest share of the 1X2 market at 77%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 77% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Eintracht Rheine win

77.2% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.90 – 0.95

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Schermbeck away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Eintracht Rheine to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 77%, against 77% / 14% / 9% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.90 goals for Eintracht Rheine and 0.95 for Schermbeck, a combined 3.85 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 58%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Eintracht Rheine win77%
Draw14%
Schermbeck win9%

Double chance 1X

91%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

23%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 2–09.0%
  • 3–08.7%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 3–18.2%
  • 4–06.3%

Recent form

Eintracht Rheine

    Schermbeck

    • 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Rheine · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sprockhovel · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen · 2-4 (L)
    • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vreden · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hiltrup · 1-1 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Oberliga - Westfalen table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Gievenbeck11722823
    2Vreden11722723
    3Maaslingen11713722
    4Eintracht Rheine11623720
    5Lippstadt 0812624220
    6ASC Dortmund11614619
    7Sprockhovel11533918
    8Arminia II11533518
    9Erkenschwick11533418
    10Preußen Münster II11434215
    11Westfalia Kinderhaus11434-315
    12Verl II11425114
    13Hiltrup11416-913
    14SpVgg Herne Horsthausen11407-712
    15TuS Hordel11254-411
    16Victoria Clarholz11227-48
    17Ennepetal11155-128
    18Schermbeck120210-192

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Eintracht Rheine win, at 77.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

    A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.