Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · Hessen - 512:00

5 – 0

Saturday, 22 August 2026

· Analysis updated 07:16 UTC

Eintracht Stadtallendorf vs Rot-Weiß Walldorf Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Eintracht Stadtallendorf and 0.98 for Rot-Weiß Walldorf, a combined total of 2.68. That distribution gives Eintracht Stadtallendorf the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Eintracht Stadtallendorf win

54.4% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.70 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Eintracht Stadtallendorf home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Rot-Weiß Walldorf away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Eintracht Stadtallendorf to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 24% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.70 goals for Eintracht Stadtallendorf and 0.98 for Rot-Weiß Walldorf, a combined 2.68 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Eintracht Stadtallendorf win54%
Draw24%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score51%

Correct score

  • 1–011.7%
  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–010.0%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 0–06.9%

Recent form

Eintracht Stadtallendorf

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayern Alzenau · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Gießen · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs TuBa Pohlheim · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-02T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Friedberg · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Unter-Flockenbach · 7-2 (W)

Rot-Weiß Walldorf

  • 2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Eddersheim · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fernwald · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vfb Marburg · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs 1960 Hanau · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Kassel 2 · 4-3 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Hessen table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Eintracht Stadtallendorf1510323033
2Unter-Flockenbach1510231532
3Friedberg158341027
4Hadamar15834827
5Eddersheim15744225
6Darmstadt 98 II157351624
7TuBa Pohlheim15726-123
8Hünfelder SV15717022
9Fernwald15492421
10Vfb Marburg15636-221
11Rot-Weiß Walldorf15627-720
12Kassel15546-1019
13Bayern Alzenau15456-317
14Baunatal15447-716
15Hummetroth15348-813
161960 Hanau15348-1413
17Kassel 215339-1212
18FC Gießen152310-219

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Eintracht Stadtallendorf win, at 54.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.