· Analysis updated 10:34 UTC
Eisbachtal vs Gonsenheim Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Eisbachtal and 2.55 for Gonsenheim, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Gonsenheim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gonsenheim win
63.4% probability
Expected goals
1.35 – 2.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eisbachtal home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gonsenheim away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
37%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.9%
- 1–37.6%
- 1–17.0%
- 0–26.6%
- 2–26.0%
Recent form
Eisbachtal
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs RW Wittlich · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gonsenheim · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Auersmacher · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Elversberg II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Pirmasens · 0-3 (L)
Gonsenheim
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Pirmasens · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs TuS RW Koblenz · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Cosmos Koblenz · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FV Engers 07 · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Emmelshausen-Karbach · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-28T14:30:00.000Z · Eisbachtal 1-0 Gonsenheim (Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar)
- 2025-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · Eisbachtal 3-5 Gonsenheim (Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar)
- 2025-03-08T15:00:00.000Z · Eisbachtal 2-2 Gonsenheim (Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar)
- 2024-08-24T11:00:00.000Z · Eisbachtal 1-6 Gonsenheim (Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar)
- 2022-10-22T13:30:00.000Z · Eisbachtal 0-4 Gonsenheim (Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar)
- 2022-08-06T14:00:00.000Z · Eisbachtal 3-2 Gonsenheim (Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar)
- 2021-10-30T14:00:00.000Z · Eisbachtal 2-2 Gonsenheim (Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar)
- 2021-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · Eisbachtal 3-2 Gonsenheim (Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar)
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mechtersheim | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Schott Mainz | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 26 |
| 3 | Gonsenheim | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 25 |
| 4 | Pirmasens | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 24 |
| 5 | FV Engers 07 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | TuS Koblenz | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
| 7 | Wormatia Worms | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 21 |
| 8 | RW Wittlich | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | TuS RW Koblenz | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| 10 | Gau-Odernheim | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Elversberg II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 | Hertha Wiesbach | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 15 |
| 14 | Auersmacher | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Cosmos Koblenz | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 | Ahrweiler | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 | Diefflen | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -22 | 7 |
| 18 | Eisbachtal | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -39 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gonsenheim win, at 63.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.