Germany · Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar · Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 1214:00
EisbachtalLLLLL

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Saturday, 10 October 2026

· Analysis updated 12:06 UTC

Eisbachtal vs Hertha Wiesbach Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.09 expected goals for Eisbachtal and 2.50 for Hertha Wiesbach, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives Hertha Wiesbach the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hertha Wiesbach win

68.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.09 – 2.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Eisbachtal home form

    1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hertha Wiesbach away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hertha Wiesbach to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 15% / 17% / 68% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.09 goals for Eisbachtal and 2.50 for Hertha Wiesbach, a combined 3.58 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Eisbachtal win15%
Draw17%
Hertha Wiesbach win68%

Double chance 1X

32%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

85%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–28.7%
  • 1–37.8%
  • 1–17.5%
  • 0–37.2%

Recent form

Eisbachtal

  • 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs RW Wittlich · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gonsenheim · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Auersmacher · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Elversberg II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Pirmasens · 0-3 (L)

Hertha Wiesbach

  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Eisbachtal · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Diefflen · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Mechtersheim · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Wormatia Worms · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Ahrweiler · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mechtersheim139131228
2Schott Mainz137511526
3Gonsenheim138141625
4Pirmasens137331924
5FV Engers 0713643922
6TuS Koblenz13643522
7Wormatia Worms136341321
8RW Wittlich12633821
9TuS RW Koblenz13553720
10Gau-Odernheim12624520
11FC Emmelshausen-Karbach13544-419
12Elversberg II13445-716
13Hertha Wiesbach13436-815
14Auersmacher13508-1015
15Cosmos Koblenz13418-513
16Ahrweiler13148-147
17Diefflen13148-227
18Eisbachtal130112-391

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hertha Wiesbach win, at 68.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.