Egypt · Second League · Matchweek 812:30

2 – 0

Friday, 9 October 2026

La Viena FCWDLLL

Al Salam Stadium · Analysis updated 01:16 UTC

El Entag EL Harby vs La Viena FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.98 expected goals for El Entag EL Harby and 0.55 for La Viena FC, a combined total of 1.53. That distribution gives El Entag EL Harby the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 20% for over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

79.8% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.98 – 0.55

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • El Entag EL Harby home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • La Viena FC away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates El Entag EL Harby to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 35% / 20% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.98 goals for El Entag EL Harby and 0.55 for La Viena FC, a combined 1.53 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

El Entag EL Harby win45%
Draw35%
La Viena FC win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

65%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals45%
Over 2.5 goals20%
Over 3.5 goals7%
Both teams to score26%

Correct score

  • 0–021.8%
  • 1–021.2%
  • 0–112.0%
  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–010.3%

Recent form

El Entag EL Harby

  • 2026-10-23T12:30:00.000Z · H vs El Mansura · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-16T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Proxy · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-09T12:30:00.000Z · H vs La Viena FC · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-01T12:30:00.000Z · A vs El Seka El Hadid · 4-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-25T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Tanta SC · 0-0 (D)

La Viena FC

  • 2026-09-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Masar · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Team · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Tersana · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Kahraba Ismailia · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Masar107121122
2Haras El Hodood10550820
3Itesalat10613719
4Pharco10613419
5Kahraba Ismailia10532818
6Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat10532518
7AL Nasr SC10451617
8Tersana10451517
9El Mansura10523217
10El Seka El Hadid10433215
11Baladiyyat Al Mehalla10334012
12Team10325-511
13El Entag EL Harby10244110
14Ismaily SC10244-410
15Tanta SC10244-410
16El Dakhleya10244-610
17Proxy10226-78
18La Viena FC10145-67
19Dayrout10136-166
20Mega Sport10037-113

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 79.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 26% and over 2.5 goals at 20%.

A 80% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.