El-Kanemi Stadium · Analysis updated 02:33 UTC
El Kanemi Warriors vs Remo Stars Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for El Kanemi Warriors and 1.08 for Remo Stars, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives El Kanemi Warriors the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
70.6% probability
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
El Kanemi Warriors home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Remo Stars away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.8%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–19.3%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–08.6%
Recent form
El Kanemi Warriors
- 2026-10-23T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Raja Casablanca · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Raja Casablanca · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T16:00:00.000Z · A vs UDIB · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs UDIB · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ikorodu City · 1-0 (W)
Remo Stars
- 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bendel Insurance · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayelsa United · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Enyimba · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Niger Tornadoes · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-04-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Barau FC · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-29T15:00:00.000Z · El Kanemi Warriors 1-1 Remo Stars (NPFL)
- 2025-11-10T15:00:00.000Z · El Kanemi Warriors 1-2 Remo Stars (NPFL)
- 2025-05-07T14:00:00.000Z · El Kanemi Warriors 2-0 Remo Stars (NPFL)
- 2024-12-08T16:30:00.000Z · El Kanemi Warriors 0-2 Remo Stars (NPFL)
- 2023-03-29T15:00:00.000Z · El Kanemi Warriors 1-2 Remo Stars (NPFL)
- 2023-01-15T15:00:00.000Z · El Kanemi Warriors 0-2 Remo Stars (NPFL)
- 2017-06-18T15:00:00.000Z · El Kanemi Warriors 2-0 Remo Stars (NPFL)
- 2017-01-29T15:00:00.000Z · El Kanemi Warriors 0-2 Remo Stars (NPFL)
NPFL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivers United | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Nasarawa United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Plateau United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Barau FC | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Bendel Insurance | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Sporting Lagos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Kano Pillars | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Niger Tornadoes | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Doma United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Ikorodu City | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Katsina United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Kwara United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Shooting Stars | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Kun Khalifat FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 17 | Abia Warriors | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 | Ranchers Bees | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 | Enyimba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.