Egypt · Premier League · Relegation Group - 1314:00
El MokawloonDWDWL

3 – 1

Friday, 29 May 2026

Future FCWWWLW

Arab Contractors Stadium · Referee M. Abbas · Analysis updated 11:07 UTC

El Mokawloon vs Future FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for El Mokawloon and 0.78 for Future FC, a combined total of 1.65. That distribution gives El Mokawloon the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 23% for over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

70.1% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.88 – 0.78

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • El Mokawloon home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Future FC away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates El Mokawloon to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 36% / 35% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.88 goals for El Mokawloon and 0.78 for Future FC, a combined 1.65 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

El Mokawloon win36%
Draw35%
Future FC win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

65%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals23%
Over 3.5 goals9%
Both teams to score31%

Correct score

  • 0–019.2%
  • 1–016.8%
  • 0–114.9%
  • 1–113.0%
  • 2–07.4%

Recent form

El Mokawloon

  • 2026-09-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wadi Degla · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Ahly · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z · A vs El Gouna FC · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-27T17:00:00.000Z · H vs AL Masry · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs El Geish · 0-1 (L)

Future FC

  • 2026-08-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs El Gouna FC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs El Mokawloon · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrojet · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pyramids FC66001118
2Al Ahly6510816
3Zamalek SC6411513
4Future FC6411413
5Al Ittihad6411413
6Ceramica Cleopatra6402412
7National Bank of Egypt630309
8El Mokawloon622218
9Petrojet622208
10Masr6222-18
11Olympic El Qanah614107
12AL Masry6213-27
13Smouha SC6213-27
14El Geish6213-37
15Wadi Degla6132-16
16Asyut Petrol6123-35
17Enppi6114-44
18Abu Qair Semad6105-83
19El Gouna FC6024-42
20Ghazl El Mehalla6015-91

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 31% and over 2.5 goals at 23%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.