Arab Contractors Stadium · Analysis updated 12:44 UTC
El Mokawloon vs Future FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.56 expected goals for El Mokawloon and 1.15 for Future FC, a combined total of 2.72. That distribution gives El Mokawloon the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
El Mokawloon win
46.8% probability
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
El Mokawloon home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Future FC away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates El Mokawloon to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 25% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.56 goals for El Mokawloon and 1.15 for Future FC, a combined 2.72 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–08.1%
- 0–17.6%
Recent form
El Mokawloon
- 2026-10-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Enppi · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Masr · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs El Gouna FC · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wadi Degla · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Ahly · 1-1 (D)
Future FC
- 2026-08-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs El Gouna FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs El Mokawloon · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrojet · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | Al Ahly | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Zamalek SC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Future FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | El Mokawloon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Masr | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | National Bank of Egypt | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Smouha SC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Olympic El Qanah | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | AL Masry | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Wadi Degla | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | El Geish | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Asyut Petrol | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Enppi | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | Abu Qair Semad | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | El Gouna FC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is El Mokawloon win, at 46.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.