· Analysis updated 12:42 UTC
Elfsborg W vs Häcken II W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.92 expected goals for Elfsborg W and 0.49 for Häcken II W, a combined total of 3.41. That distribution gives Elfsborg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 86%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 86% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Elfsborg W win
86.1% probability
Expected goals
2.92 – 0.49
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Elfsborg W home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Elfsborg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 86%, against 86% / 10% / 4% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.92 goals for Elfsborg W and 0.49 for Häcken II W, a combined 3.41 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 37%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
96%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
14%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–014.1%
- 3–013.7%
- 4–010.0%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–16.9%
Recent form
Elfsborg W
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Örebro SK W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Gamla Upsala W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-08T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Alingsås W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Trelleborg W · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Göteborg W · 1-1 (D)
Häcken II W
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Elitettan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elfsborg W | 23 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 54 |
| 2 | KIF Örebro W | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 53 |
| 3 | Göteborg W | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 51 |
| 4 | Linköping W | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 43 |
| 5 | Umeå W | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 41 |
| 6 | Husqvarna W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 32 |
| 7 | Trelleborg W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Jitex W | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 | Örebro SK W | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | Enskede W | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | Alingsås W | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -11 | 22 |
| 12 | Gamla Upsala W | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 17 |
| 13 | Sandviken W | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | -38 | 11 |
| 14 | Häcken II W | 22 | 2 | 2 | 18 | -25 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Elfsborg W win, at 86.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 86% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.