Eltersdorf vs Eichstätt Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Eltersdorf and 0.90 for Eichstätt, a combined total of 2.43. That distribution gives Eltersdorf the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Eltersdorf win

51.9% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.53 – 0.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Eltersdorf home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Eichstätt away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Eltersdorf win52%

Draw26%

Eichstätt win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals70%

Over 2.5 goals44%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Both teams to score46%

Correct score

1–013.5%
1–112.1%
2–010.3%
2–19.3%
0–08.8%

Recent form

Eltersdorf

2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Landsberg · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wacker Burghausen · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Schweinfurt 05 · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Buchbach · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayreuth · 2-4 (L)

Eichstätt

2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Wacker Burghausen · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SpVgg Unterhaching · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Greuther Fürth II · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Eltersdorf · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Schweinfurt 05 · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2025-03-18T18:00:00.000Z · Eltersdorf 0-0 Eichstätt (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)
2024-08-09T16:30:00.000Z · Eltersdorf 1-2 Eichstätt (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)
2024-03-23T13:00:00.000Z · Eltersdorf 2-1 Eichstätt (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)
2023-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · Eltersdorf 0-0 Eichstätt (Oberliga - Bayern Nord)
2022-04-16T12:00:00.000Z · Eltersdorf 3-0 Eichstätt (Regionalliga - Bayern)
2021-07-17T15:00:00.000Z · Eltersdorf 0-3 Eichstätt (Regionalliga - Bayern)

Regionalliga - Bayern table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Memmingen	16	10	3	3	10	33
2	Buchbach	16	8	5	3	7	29
3	SpVgg Unterhaching	15	7	7	1	10	28
4	TSV 1860 München	14	6	6	2	10	24
5	Augsburg II	15	7	3	5	-1	24
6	Illertissen	15	6	5	4	8	23
7	Bayreuth	15	7	1	7	8	22
8	Vilzing	14	5	6	3	1	21
9	Eichstätt	15	6	3	6	-4	21
10	Wacker Burghausen	15	5	5	5	7	20
11	Nürnberg II	14	6	2	6	6	20
12	Bayern München II	13	5	4	4	4	19
13	Eltersdorf	15	4	6	5	-1	18
14	Schwaben Augsburg	15	5	3	7	-9	18
15	FC Schweinfurt 05	15	4	5	6	-10	17
16	Greuther Fürth II	15	3	4	8	-6	13
17	Ansbach	15	3	3	9	-17	12
18	Aubstadt	15	2	5	8	-7	11
19	Landsberg	15	1	6	8	-16	9

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Eltersdorf win, at 51.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.