· Analysis updated 18:02 UTC
Elversberg U19 vs Alemannia Aachen U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Elversberg U19 and 1.99 for Alemannia Aachen U19, a combined total of 3.71. That distribution gives Alemannia Aachen U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
66.0% probability
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.99
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Elversberg U19 home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Alemannia Aachen U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Alemannia Aachen U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 34% / 21% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.72 goals for Elversberg U19 and 1.99 for Alemannia Aachen U19, a combined 3.71 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.4%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–17.2%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–35.5%
Recent form
Elversberg U19
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 0-2 (L)
Alemannia Aachen U19
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Elversberg U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.