· Analysis updated 10:40 UTC
Elversberg U19 vs Borussia M'bach U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Elversberg U19 and 2.83 for Borussia M'bach U19, a combined total of 4.70. That distribution gives Borussia M'bach U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Borussia M'bach U19 win
57.8% probability
Expected goals
1.88 – 2.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Elversberg U19 home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Borussia M'bach U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 25% / 18% / 58% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.88 goals for Elversberg U19 and 2.83 for Borussia M'bach U19, a combined 4.70 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 85% and both teams to score at 79%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
42%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–26.8%
- 1–36.4%
- 2–26.4%
- 2–36.0%
- 1–14.8%
Recent form
Elversberg U19
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 0-2 (L)
Borussia M'bach U19
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Borussia M'bach U19 win, at 57.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.