· Analysis updated 09:27 UTC
Elversberg U19 vs Viktoria Köln U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for Elversberg U19 and 2.29 for Viktoria Köln U19, a combined total of 3.91. That distribution gives Viktoria Köln U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Viktoria Köln U19 win
52.8% probability
Expected goals
1.62 – 2.29
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Elversberg U19 home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Viktoria Köln U19 away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viktoria Köln U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 27% / 20% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.62 goals for Elversberg U19 and 2.29 for Viktoria Köln U19, a combined 3.91 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.5%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–36.5%
- 2–16.0%
Recent form
Elversberg U19
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 0-2 (L)
Viktoria Köln U19
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Saarbrücken U19 · 9-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 5-5 (D)
- 2026-08-01T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Babelsberg U19 · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Osnabrück U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs RW Oberhausen U19 · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2025-11-02T13:00:00.000Z · Elversberg U19 0-2 Viktoria Köln U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
- 2025-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · Elversberg U19 0-4 Viktoria Köln U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viktoria Köln U19 win, at 52.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.