Emirates Club Stadium · Analysis updated 06:46 UTC
Emirates Club vs Palm City Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.00 expected goals for Emirates Club and 2.00 for Palm City, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Emirates Club the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Emirates Club win
58.4% probability
Expected goals
3.00 – 2.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Emirates Club home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Emirates Club to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 17% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.00 goals for Emirates Club and 2.00 for Palm City, a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 87% and both teams to score at 82%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–16.1%
- 2–26.1%
- 3–16.1%
- 3–26.1%
- 4–14.5%
Recent form
Emirates Club
- 2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Gulf United · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T13:10:00.000Z · H vs Dubai City · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Al Arabi · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-18T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Al Urooba · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:55:00.000Z · H vs Al Bataeh · 0-1 (L)
Palm City
- 2026-09-29T14:40:00.000Z · H vs Dibba Al Hisn · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-23T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Al Bataeh · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T14:40:00.000Z · H vs Forte Virtus · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T14:55:00.000Z · A vs Dibba Al Hisn · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T15:05:00.000Z · H vs Al Hamriyah · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-30T15:05:00.000Z · Emirates Club 3-1 Palm City (Division 1)
Division 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Arabi | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Al Thaid | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Dibba Al-Fujairah | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Emirates Club | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Al Urooba | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Fujairah SC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Forte Virtus | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Al Hamriyah | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Al Bataeh | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Dibba Al Hisn | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Gulf United | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Palm City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Ittifaq | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Dubai City | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -10 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Emirates Club win, at 58.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.