Empor Glauchau vs Union Sandersdorf Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Empor Glauchau and 1.79 for Union Sandersdorf, a combined total of 3.64. That distribution gives Empor Glauchau the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

62.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.79

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Empor Glauchau home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Union Sandersdorf away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Empor Glauchau to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 22% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.85 goals for Empor Glauchau and 1.79 for Union Sandersdorf, a combined 3.64 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Empor Glauchau win41%

Draw22%

Union Sandersdorf win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals70%

Over 3.5 goals49%

Both teams to score70%

Correct score

1–18.7%
2–18.1%
1–27.8%
2–27.2%
3–15.0%

Recent form

Empor Glauchau

2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Budissa Bautzen · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Plauen · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs VfL Halle · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-16T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Germania Halberstadt · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs ZFC Meuselwitz · 0-2 (L)

Union Sandersdorf

2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Budissa Bautzen · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Plauen · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Halle · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Germania Halberstadt · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · H vs ZFC Meuselwitz · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Nordost-Süd table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ZFC Meuselwitz	9	7	2	0	13	23
2	Auerbach	9	6	2	1	13	20
3	Germania Halberstadt	9	6	1	2	15	19
4	VfL Halle	9	6	0	3	4	18
5	Eilenburg	9	5	1	3	12	16
6	Dresden II	9	3	5	1	7	14
7	Plauen	9	3	4	2	4	13
8	SC Freital	9	3	4	2	2	13
9	Weissenfels	9	4	0	5	-2	12
10	Union Sandersdorf	9	3	1	5	2	10
11	Empor Glauchau	9	2	3	4	-2	9
12	Budissa Bautzen	9	2	3	4	-7	9
13	Einheit Wernigerode	9	1	5	3	-9	8
14	Krieschow	9	2	2	5	-12	8
15	Einheit Rudolstadt	9	0	3	6	-18	3
16	FC Frankfurt	9	1	0	8	-22	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.