Energie Cottbus U19 vs Union Berlin U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Energie Cottbus U19 and 1.53 for Union Berlin U19, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives Energie Cottbus U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Energie Cottbus U19 win

48.8% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.53

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Energie Cottbus U19 home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Union Berlin U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Energie Cottbus U19 win49%

Draw22%

Union Berlin U19 win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score68%

Correct score

1–19.0%
2–19.0%
1–26.9%
2–26.9%
3–16.0%

Recent form

Energie Cottbus U19

2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC U19 · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-30T09:00:00.000Z · A vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19 · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Hallescher FC U19 · 1-2 (L)

Union Berlin U19

2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hallescher FC U19 · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Babelsberg U19 · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19 · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs BAK 07 U19 · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus U19 1-2 Union Berlin U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2025-11-22T11:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus U19 1-3 Union Berlin U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2025-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus U19 1-1 Union Berlin U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2023-05-07T11:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus U19 4-1 Union Berlin U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2023-03-04T11:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus U19 0-3 Union Berlin U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2022-02-23T14:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus U19 0-0 Union Berlin U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2019-11-30T11:00:00.000Z · Energie Cottbus U19 1-2 Union Berlin U19 (U19 Bundesliga)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Energie Cottbus U19 win, at 48.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.