Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.49 for Hannover 96, a combined total of 3.64. That distribution gives Energie Cottbus the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Energie Cottbus win

52.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.15 – 1.49

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Energie Cottbus home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hannover 96 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Energie Cottbus to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 21% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.15 goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.49 for Hannover 96, a combined 3.64 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Energie Cottbus win53%

Draw21%

Hannover 96 win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals71%

Over 3.5 goals49%

Both teams to score69%

Correct score

2–19.0%
1–18.4%
2–26.7%
3–16.5%
1–26.3%

Recent form

Energie Cottbus

2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Lech Poznan · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-20T11:30:00.000Z · H vs FC St. Pauli · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs VfL Wolfsburg · 4-4 (D)
2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 3-4 (L)

Hannover 96

2026-09-20T11:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Bochum · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Nürnberg · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-04T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Karlsruher SC · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-30T11:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Darmstadt 98 · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-22T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Hemelingen · 9-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Bundesliga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	6	6	0	0	10	18
2	1. FC Nürnberg	6	5	1	0	10	16
3	1. FC Heidenheim	6	4	1	1	2	13
4	VfL Wolfsburg	6	3	2	1	7	11
5	1. FC Kaiserslautern	6	3	2	1	2	11
6	1. FC Magdeburg	6	3	1	2	2	10
7	Energie Cottbus	6	2	2	2	1	8
8	FC St. Pauli	6	1	4	1	0	7
9	VfL Bochum	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Hannover 96	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	VfL Osnabrück	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Karlsruher SC	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	6	1	1	4	-1	4
16	Holstein Kiel	6	0	4	2	-3	4
17	Dynamo Dresden	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	SV Darmstadt 98	6	1	1	4	-8	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Energie Cottbus win, at 52.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.