· Analysis updated 06:40 UTC
Enfield Town vs Whyteleafe Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.85 expected goals for Enfield Town and 1.26 for Whyteleafe, a combined total of 4.11. That distribution gives Enfield Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Enfield Town win
70.3% probability
Expected goals
2.85 – 1.26
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Enfield Town home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Whyteleafe away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Enfield Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 16% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.85 goals for Enfield Town and 1.26 for Whyteleafe, a combined 4.11 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.4%
- 3–18.0%
- 2–06.7%
- 3–06.4%
- 1–15.9%
Recent form
Enfield Town
- 2026-10-06T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Stanway Rovers · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Oxford City · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hanwell Town · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Billericay Town · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-15T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Dartford · 0-2 (L)
Whyteleafe
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dartford · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-14T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Whitehawk · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Maldon & Tiptree · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Welling United · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-30T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Brentwood Town · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Non League Premier - Isthmian table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 28 |
| 2 | Welling United | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Lewes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Chatham Town | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Dartford | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 24 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 22 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 |
| 8 | Carshalton Athletic | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Burgess Hill Town | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 |
| 10 | Wingate & Finchley | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Dulwich Hamlet | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 | St Albans City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 13 | Leatherhead | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 14 | Whyteleafe | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Cheshunt | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | Aveley | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Maldon & Tiptree | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 14 |
| 18 | Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 19 | Brentwood Town | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -1 | 12 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 |
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -20 | 7 |
| 22 | Whitehawk | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -20 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Enfield Town win, at 70.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.