· Analysis updated 15:58 UTC
England U20 vs Switzerland U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for England U20 and 1.18 for Switzerland U20, a combined total of 3.16. That distribution gives England U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
England U20 win
56.0% probability
Expected goals
1.98 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
England U20 home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates England U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 22% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.98 goals for England U20 and 1.18 for Switzerland U20, a combined 3.16 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–08.4%
- 3–16.5%
Recent form
England U20
- 2026-03-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Italy U20 · 3-3 (D)
- 2025-11-14T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Japan U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Switzerland U20 · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-09-05T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Italy U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2025-03-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Portugal U20 · 1-1 (D)
Switzerland U20
- 2026-03-31T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Romania U20 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-03-27T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Portugal U20 · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-10-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Poland U20 · 1-4 (L)
- 2025-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs England U20 · 1-0 (W)
- 2025-09-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Czech Republic U20 · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is England U20 win, at 56.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.