Germany · Oberliga - Westfalen · Westfalen - 713:30

13:30 UTC

Sunday, 20 September 2026

· Analysis updated 04:57 UTC

Ennepetal vs Verl II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.54 expected goals for Ennepetal and 1.41 for Verl II, a combined total of 2.94. That distribution gives Ennepetal the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Ennepetal or Draw

65.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.41

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ennepetal win41%
Draw25%
Verl II win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 0–17.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Ennepetal home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Ennepetal to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 25% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.54 goals for Ennepetal and 1.41 for Verl II, a combined 2.94 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Ennepetal

  • 2026-08-09T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Gievenbeck · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Westfalia Rhynern · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-05-31T13:00:00.000Z · H vs ASC Dortmund · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Schermbeck · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-20T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Rheine · 1-0 (W)

Verl II

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Oberliga - Westfalen table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Eintracht Rheine220036
    2Preußen Münster II110033
    3Maaslingen110023
    4Vreden110023
    5Westfalia Kinderhaus110023
    6Verl II110013
    7Sprockhovel101001
    8Ennepetal101001
    9Erkenschwick101001
    10Gievenbeck101001
    11TuS Hordel101001
    12Arminia II2011-11
    13SpVgg Herne Horsthausen1001-10
    14Victoria Clarholz1001-20
    15ASC Dortmund1001-20
    16Hiltrup1001-20
    17Lippstadt 081001-20
    18Schermbeck1001-30

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.