Ennepetal vs Westfalia Kinderhaus Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.41 expected goals for Ennepetal and 1.56 for Westfalia Kinderhaus, a combined total of 2.96. That distribution gives Westfalia Kinderhaus the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

65.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.56

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Ennepetal home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Westfalia Kinderhaus away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Westfalia Kinderhaus to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 35% / 24% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.41 goals for Ennepetal and 1.56 for Westfalia Kinderhaus, a combined 2.96 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Ennepetal win35%

Draw24%

Westfalia Kinderhaus win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

1–111.3%
1–28.8%
0–18.0%
2–18.0%
1–07.3%

Recent form

Ennepetal

2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vreden · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · H vs ASC Dortmund · 1-5 (L)
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hiltrup · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Verl II · 2-2 (D)

Westfalia Kinderhaus

2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Verl II · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia II · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Victoria Clarholz · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Preußen Münster II · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Maaslingen · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-08-23T13:30:00.000Z · Ennepetal 2-2 Westfalia Kinderhaus (Oberliga - Westfalen)

Oberliga - Westfalen table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gievenbeck	11	7	2	2	8	23
2	Vreden	11	7	2	2	7	23
3	Maaslingen	11	7	1	3	7	22
4	Eintracht Rheine	11	6	2	3	7	20
5	Lippstadt 08	12	6	2	4	2	20
6	ASC Dortmund	11	6	1	4	6	19
7	Sprockhovel	11	5	3	3	9	18
8	Arminia II	11	5	3	3	5	18
9	Erkenschwick	11	5	3	3	4	18
10	Preußen Münster II	11	4	3	4	2	15
11	Westfalia Kinderhaus	11	4	3	4	-3	15
12	Verl II	11	4	2	5	1	14
13	Hiltrup	11	4	1	6	-9	13
14	SpVgg Herne Horsthausen	11	4	0	7	-7	12
15	TuS Hordel	11	2	5	4	-4	11
16	Victoria Clarholz	11	2	2	7	-4	8
17	Ennepetal	11	1	5	5	-12	8
18	Schermbeck	12	0	2	10	-19	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.