Paralimni Stadium · Referee A. Menelaos · Analysis updated 13:47 UTC
Enosis vs Akritas Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Enosis and 1.18 for Akritas, a combined total of 2.43. That distribution gives Enosis the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.4% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Enosis home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Akritas away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–110.4%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.1%
Recent form
Enosis
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Anorthosis · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Halkanoras · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Anagennisi Deryneia · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Akritas · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Nea Salamis · 0-1 (L)
Akritas
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs ASIL Lysi · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ermis · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-14T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Enosis · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs AEL · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Omonia Aradippou · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-14T15:00:00.000Z · Enosis 2-3 Akritas (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2026-04-25T13:00:00.000Z · Enosis 1-2 Akritas (1. Division)
- 2025-12-20T15:00:00.000Z · Enosis 0-1 Akritas (1. Division)
- 2025-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · Enosis 0-1 Akritas (1. Division)
- 2023-09-24T16:00:00.000Z · Enosis 1-0 Akritas (2. Division)
- 2023-05-03T16:00:00.000Z · Enosis 5-1 Akritas (1. Division)
- 2023-03-17T17:00:00.000Z · Enosis 2-2 Akritas (1. Division)
- 2023-02-26T15:00:00.000Z · Enosis 5-0 Akritas (1. Division)
- 2022-11-25T17:00:00.000Z · Enosis 1-2 Akritas (1. Division)
- 2022-04-30T14:00:00.000Z · Enosis 2-2 Akritas (2. Division)
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | AEL | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 | Omonia Nicosia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 |
| 4 | Pafos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Aris | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Apoel Nicosia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Olympiakos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Nea Salamis | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Anorthosis | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
| 14 | Krasava Ypsonas | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.