Egypt · Premier League · Matchweek 417:00
EnppiLLWDL

2 – 1

Wednesday, 9 September 2026

MasrDWLWL

Petrosport Stadium · Referee A. Omar · Analysis updated 07:39 UTC

Enppi vs Masr Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.31 expected goals for Enppi and 1.27 for Masr, a combined total of 2.57. That distribution gives Enppi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

64.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.27

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Enppi home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Masr away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Enppi to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 27% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.31 goals for Enppi and 1.27 for Masr, a combined 2.57 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Enppi win38%
Draw27%
Masr win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score52%

Correct score

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 1–28.0%

Recent form

Enppi

  • 2026-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Pyramids FC · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Masr · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wadi Degla · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Ahly · 2-3 (L)

Masr

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Azam · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Future FC · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Azam · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs El Mokawloon · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Zamalek SC · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pyramids FC66001118
2Al Ahly6510816
3Zamalek SC6411513
4Future FC6411413
5Al Ittihad6411413
6Ceramica Cleopatra6402412
7National Bank of Egypt630309
8El Mokawloon622218
9Petrojet622208
10Masr6222-18
11Olympic El Qanah614107
12AL Masry6213-27
13Smouha SC6213-27
14El Geish6213-37
15Wadi Degla6132-16
16Asyut Petrol6123-35
17Enppi6114-44
18Abu Qair Semad6105-83
19El Gouna FC6024-42
20Ghazl El Mehalla6015-91

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.