Egypt · Premier League · Matchweek 214:00
EnppiLLWDL

1 – 3

Friday, 28 August 2026

Wadi DeglaDLLDW

Petrosport Stadium · Referee M. Abbas · Analysis updated 13:18 UTC

Enppi vs Wadi Degla Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.42 expected goals for Enppi and 1.39 for Wadi Degla, a combined total of 2.81. That distribution gives Enppi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.39

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Enppi home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Wadi Degla away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Enppi to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 25% / 37% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.42 goals for Enppi and 1.39 for Wadi Degla, a combined 2.81 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Enppi win38%
Draw25%
Wadi Degla win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 1–28.3%

Recent form

Enppi

  • 2026-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Pyramids FC · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Masr · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wadi Degla · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Ahly · 2-3 (L)

Wadi Degla

  • 2026-09-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs El Mokawloon · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-09T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Future FC · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympic El Qanah · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-28T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Enppi · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-21T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Masr · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pyramids FC66001118
2Al Ahly6510816
3Zamalek SC6411513
4Future FC6411413
5Al Ittihad6411413
6Ceramica Cleopatra6402412
7National Bank of Egypt630309
8El Mokawloon622218
9Petrojet622208
10Masr6222-18
11Olympic El Qanah614107
12AL Masry6213-27
13Smouha SC6213-27
14El Geish6213-37
15Wadi Degla6132-16
16Asyut Petrol6123-35
17Enppi6114-44
18Abu Qair Semad6105-83
19El Gouna FC6024-42
20Ghazl El Mehalla6015-91

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.