Sweden · Svenska Cupen - Women · Round 217:00

1 – 2

Thursday, 8 October 2026

· Analysis updated 04:47 UTC

Enskede W vs Brommapojkarna W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Enskede W and 1.53 for Brommapojkarna W, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Brommapojkarna W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

67.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.53

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Enskede W home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Brommapojkarna W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Brommapojkarna W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 32% / 25% / 43% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.30 goals for Enskede W and 1.53 for Brommapojkarna W, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Enskede W win32%
Draw25%
Brommapojkarna W win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–111.8%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–07.7%
  • 2–17.6%

Recent form

Enskede W

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Trelleborg W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brommapojkarna W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Gamla Upsala W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KIF Örebro W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 1-5 (L)

Brommapojkarna W

  • 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Eskilstuna United W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Enskede W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hammarby W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Malmö FF W · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.