Sweden · Elitettan · Matchweek 1613:00
Enskede WWWLLL

2 – 2

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Jitex WDLWDW

· Analysis updated 08:07 UTC

Enskede W vs Jitex W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Enskede W and 1.48 for Jitex W, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Jitex W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Jitex W win

45.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Enskede W home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Jitex W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Jitex W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 28% / 26% / 46% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.10 goals for Enskede W and 1.48 for Jitex W, a combined 2.58 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Enskede W win28%
Draw26%
Jitex W win46%

Double chance 1X

54%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score51%

Correct score

  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–111.2%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 0–28.3%

Recent form

Enskede W

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Trelleborg W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brommapojkarna W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Gamla Upsala W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KIF Örebro W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 1-5 (L)

Jitex W

  • 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Linköping W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Vittsjö W · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Häcken II W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Örebro SK W · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Göteborg W · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Elitettan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Elfsborg W2316613454
2KIF Örebro W2216243050
3Göteborg W2214623248
4Linköping W2213451143
5Umeå W2312561741
6Husqvarna W23959-232
7Trelleborg W23959-732
8Jitex W23779-728
9Örebro SK W237511-1326
10Enskede W227411-825
11Alingsås W225710-922
12Gamla Upsala W224513-1517
13Sandviken W222515-3811
14Häcken II W222218-258

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Jitex W win, at 45.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.