Sweden · Elitettan · Matchweek 2011:00
Enskede WWWLLL

1 – 2

Saturday, 26 September 2026

· Analysis updated 14:06 UTC

Enskede W vs KIF Örebro W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Enskede W and 2.13 for KIF Örebro W, a combined total of 3.33. That distribution gives KIF Örebro W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

KIF Örebro W win

58.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.20 – 2.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Enskede W home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • KIF Örebro W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates KIF Örebro W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 21% / 21% / 59% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.20 goals for Enskede W and 2.13 for KIF Örebro W, a combined 3.33 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Enskede W win21%
Draw21%
KIF Örebro W win59%

Double chance 1X

42%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

79%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–29.7%
  • 1–19.2%
  • 0–28.1%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 1–36.9%

Recent form

Enskede W

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Trelleborg W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brommapojkarna W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Gamla Upsala W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KIF Örebro W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 1-5 (L)

KIF Örebro W

  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken W · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Enskede W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs AIK W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Göteborg W · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Husqvarna W · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Elitettan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Elfsborg W2215613151
2KIF Örebro W2216243050
3Göteborg W2214623248
4Linköping W2213451143
5Umeå W2211561338
6Trelleborg W22958-332
7Husqvarna W22949-231
8Jitex W22769-727
9Örebro SK W227510-1026
10Enskede W227411-825
11Alingsås W225710-922
12Gamla Upsala W224513-1517
13Sandviken W222515-3811
14Häcken II W222218-258

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is KIF Örebro W win, at 58.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.