Sweden · Elitettan · Matchweek 1011:00
Enskede WWWLLL

4 – 0

Sunday, 21 June 2026

Sandviken WLLLLD

· Analysis updated 14:01 UTC

Enskede W vs Sandviken W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Enskede W and 1.00 for Sandviken W, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Enskede W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Enskede W win

57.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Enskede W home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Sandviken W away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Enskede W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 23% / 20% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.85 goals for Enskede W and 1.00 for Sandviken W, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Enskede W win57%
Draw23%
Sandviken W win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–010.7%
  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–09.9%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 3–06.1%

Recent form

Enskede W

  • 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Trelleborg W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brommapojkarna W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Gamla Upsala W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KIF Örebro W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 1-5 (L)

Sandviken W

  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs KIF Örebro W · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Umeå W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Umeå W · 2-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Elfsborg W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Trelleborg W · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-06-21T11:00:00.000Z · Enskede W 4-0 Sandviken W (Elitettan)

Elitettan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Elfsborg W2215613151
2KIF Örebro W2216243050
3Göteborg W2214623248
4Linköping W2213451143
5Umeå W2211561338
6Trelleborg W22958-332
7Husqvarna W22949-231
8Jitex W22769-727
9Örebro SK W227510-1026
10Enskede W227411-825
11Alingsås W225710-922
12Gamla Upsala W224513-1517
13Sandviken W222515-3811
14Häcken II W222218-258

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Enskede W win, at 57.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.