· Analysis updated 19:50 UTC
Entité Manageoise vs La Calamine Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Entité Manageoise and 2.03 for La Calamine, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives La Calamine the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
La Calamine win
52.5% probability
Expected goals
1.38 – 2.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Entité Manageoise home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
La Calamine away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates La Calamine to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 26% / 22% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.38 goals for Entité Manageoise and 2.03 for La Calamine, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.4%
- 1–19.3%
- 0–26.8%
- 0–16.8%
- 2–26.5%
Recent form
Entité Manageoise
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs La Calamine · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Mouscronnois · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs RUS Binche · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Eupen II · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 1-1 (D)
La Calamine
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Entité Manageoise · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Aywaille · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Acren-Lessines · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Mouscronnois · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs RUS Binche · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second Amateur Division - ACFF table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Crossing Schaerbeek | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Jette | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Stade Mouscronnois | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Huy | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Braine | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Eupen II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Richelle United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Ganshoren | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Ostiches | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 |
| 11 | La Calamine | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | RUS Binche | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Stade Verviers | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 14 | Acren-Lessines | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 15 | Stockay-Warfusée | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Entité Manageoise | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Union Namur | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -21 | 4 |
| 18 | Aywaille | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is La Calamine win, at 52.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.