Belgium · Second Amateur Division - ACFF · ACFF - 213:00

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Sunday, 30 August 2026

OstichesWDLDD

· Analysis updated 22:50 UTC

Entité Manageoise vs Ostiches Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.41 expected goals for Entité Manageoise and 1.63 for Ostiches, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives Ostiches the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

66.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.63

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Entité Manageoise home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Ostiches away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Entité Manageoise win33%
Draw24%
Ostiches win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 2–17.7%
  • 1–06.8%

Recent form

Entité Manageoise

  • 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs La Calamine · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Mouscronnois · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs RUS Binche · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Eupen II · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 1-1 (D)

Ostiches

  • 2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Verviers · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Huy · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Richelle United · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Ganshoren · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Entité Manageoise · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-03-07T18:30:00.000Z · Entité Manageoise 3-0 Ostiches (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
  • 2025-11-16T13:30:00.000Z · Entité Manageoise 0-0 Ostiches (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
  • 2025-03-30T13:00:00.000Z · Entité Manageoise 1-0 Ostiches (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
  • 2024-11-24T13:30:00.000Z · Entité Manageoise 2-3 Ostiches (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
  • 2024-05-05T13:00:00.000Z · Entité Manageoise 3-3 Ostiches (Third Amateur Division - Play-offs)
  • 2023-12-17T13:30:00.000Z · Entité Manageoise 3-0 Ostiches (Third Amateur Division - ACFF A)
  • 2023-10-08T13:00:00.000Z · Entité Manageoise 0-1 Ostiches (Third Amateur Division - ACFF A)
  • 2023-04-23T13:00:00.000Z · Entité Manageoise 0-2 Ostiches (Third Amateur Division - ACFF A)
  • 2022-11-26T13:30:00.000Z · Entité Manageoise 4-1 Ostiches (Third Amateur Division - ACFF A)
  • 2021-12-12T14:00:00.000Z · Entité Manageoise 2-2 Ostiches (Third Amateur Division - ACFF A)

Second Amateur Division - ACFF table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1SG-Tertre-Hautrage107121122
2Crossing Schaerbeek106221120
3Jette9540919
4Stade Mouscronnois10523417
5Huy10523317
6Braine10523117
7AS Eupen II9432315
8Richelle United10424-114
9Ganshoren9414513
10Ostiches9342213
11La Calamine10415113
12RUS Binche10343-313
13Stade Verviers10334212
14Acren-Lessines9324211
15Stockay-Warfusée9234-69
16Entité Manageoise9225-68
17Union Namur10118-214
18Aywaille9018-171

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.